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AREA 47
SECTION 97: RECYCLE BIN 2006
Other websites have ARCHIVES. But until I get my act together, All I've got is a Recycle Bin. This is not "Trash," But rather items pulled off the Home Page Which have not yet been Organized.
8/16/2006 6:09 PM Israel set to invade Lebanon despite lessons of 1982 war
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Last week's headlines prove the point: North Korea fires missiles, Iran talks of nukes again, Iraq carnage continues, Israel invades Gaza, England observes one-year anniversary of subway bombing. And, oh, yes, the feds stop a plot to blow up tunnels under the Hudson River.
World War III has begun.
It's not perfectly clear when it started. Perhaps it was after the Berlin Wall fell and the Cold War ended. Perhaps it was the first bombing of the World Trade Center, in 1993.
What is clear is that this war has a long fuse and, while we are not in the full-scale combat phase that marked World Wars I and II, we seem to be heading there. The expanding hostilities mean it's time to give this conflict a name, one that focuses the mind and clarifies the big picture.
The war on terror, or the war of terror, has tentacles that reach much of the globe. It is a world war.
While it is often a war of loose or no affiliation, and sometimes just amateur copycats, the similar goals of destruction add up to a threat against modern society. Even the hapless wanna-bes busted in Miami ordered guns and military equipment from a man they thought was from Al Qaeda. Islamic fascists are the driving force, but anti-American hatred is a global membership card for any and all who have a grievance and a gun.
The feeling that the wheels are coming off the world has only one recent comparison, the time when America's head-butt with communism sprouted hot spots from Cuba to Vietnam. Yet ultimately the policy of mutual assured destruction worked because American and Soviet leaders didn't want their countries hit by nuclear bombs.
Such rational thinking is quaint next to the ravings of North Korean nut Kim Jong Il and Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. They both seem to be dying to die - and set the world on fire.
And don't forget Osama Bin Laden's declaration that it is the duty of every Muslim to acquire a "Muslim bomb." Is there any doubt he would use it if he had it?
I sound pessimistic because I am. Even worse than the problems is the fact that our political system is failing us. Democratic Party leaders want to pretend we can declare peace and everything will be fine, while President Bush is out of ideas. Witness Bush now counseling patience and diplomacy on North Korea. This from a man who scorned both for five years.
But what choice does he have now that the pillars of his post-9/11 foreign policy are crumbling? As Harvard Prof. Joseph Nye argues in Foreign Affairs magazine, Bush's strategy of "reducing Washington's reliance on permanent alliances and international institutions, expanding the traditional right of preemption into a new doctrine of preventive war and advocating coercive democratization as a solution to Middle Eastern terrorism" amounted to a bid for a "legacy of transformation."
The first two ideas have been repealed. The third brought Hamas into power and has so far failed to take root in Iraq or anywhere else.
I believed Iraq was the key, that if we prevailed there, momentum would shift in our favor. Now I'm not sure. We still must prevail there, but Iraq could mean nothing if Iran or Bin Laden get the bomb or North Korea uses one.
Meanwhile, I'm definitely not using any tunnels.
http://www.world-sex-records.com/sex-248.htm
A fellatrice is a woman - often a prostitute - who specialises in the art of fellatio, i.e. exciting the male genitals by means of mouth, lips, and tongue. Cleopatra of Egypt has been represented as the "most famous free-love fellatrice of the ancient world." Cleo is said (I do not know how reliable the authority) to have performed fellatio on a thousand men. Perhaps this is why the Greeks chose to call her Merichane (Gaper) - "she who gapes wide for ten thousand men- the wide-mouthed one; the ten-thousand mouthed woman." Cleopatra was also known as Cheilon (Thick-Lipped). It was said that she fellated a hundred Roman noblemen in one night. (A. Edwardes & R. E. L. Masters).
6/17/2006
From: "G.
Griffin" <Email address pre-empted>
To: hg47@a47.info
Date: 10 Jun 2006, 02:31:20 PM
Subject: hi harv! this is greg!
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9/1/2006
12:19 AM
When I was writing the first draft of BLUES DELUXE, I got to talking with a con man & criminal who had spent a couple of years in various jails & prisons. He had some great stories to tell about his time behind bars. In fact, his tales were so good that they changed the direction of my novel.
I'm sure I was getting some exaggeration, because the guy was a great storyteller, but it was also clear that there was a large element of Truth to what he was telling me. One of the things he said that stuck with me, was that when the guards would crack down on pornography and drugs, that violence and assaults and rapes and riots always increased. But that when the guards would relax the restrictions, and let the baddies have their Bondage Babe porn & heroin & whatever, that everything quieted right down behind bars, and the boys behaved themselves.
One of McLuhan's main points was that Media Are Tranquilizers. That when you watch TV, the minor effect on you is the content of the show, the major effect on you is that you sit there for hours drinking beer & eating chips. Effectively, you are tranquilized. Similarly, with porn; the major effect is that you sit there and jerk off. hg47
http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=6772
8/27/2006
4:19 PM
For a decade I've been fascinated by crop circles. "How the hell does the artist do that?" has been my key question. Some designs I could figure out how I could mark out the pattern in a field, but others were beyond me.
Now, a group put a Firefox Crop Circle down, and they have a website where they tell exactly how they did it. Very instructive!
hg47 (Link)
8/5/2006
6:17 PM
Am I the only one who thinks that Mel Gibson's drunk driving arrest & Jew ranting was all premeditated? That the whole point is to glom AWESOME amounts of Free Publicity for his upcoming movie Apocalypto? I mean, you can't buy that amount of publicity! hg47
7/29/2006
6:47 PM [sic]
Here's an interesting statistic for those putting some of their money in the stock market.
Historically, one barrel of oil has been worth about 2.2 grams of gold.
It now takes about 3.4 grams of gold to buy a barrel of oil.
Q: Is GOLD cheap, or is OIL expensive?
My take? With Israel kicking Arab ass and taking Islamic names, while Sunni's & Shi'ites in Iraq fight a civil war, the price of oil is headed UP. Looks to me like GOLD & OIL are both good investments. hg47
7/24/2006
3:32 PM
WHEN CHRISTIANS SWEAR:
Two Balls of Christ
Epistolary Balls of Paul
Perfidious Balls of Judas
Hopeless Balls of St. Jude
Vaporous Balls of the Holy Ghost
Two Damp Balls of John the Baptist
Swallowed Balls of Jonah
Rocky Balls of St. Peter
Trumpeting Balls of Joshua
Two Inhospitable Balls of the Inn Keeper
Burning Balls of the Bush
Perforated Balls of St. Sebastian
Complaining Balls of Jeremiah
Wrinkled Balls of Methuselah
Prophetic Balls of Joseph in Egypt
Skeptical Balls of Thomas
Baby Killing Balls of Herod
hg47
6/15/2006
10:50 AM
Since a dog can sniff out human cancer more accurately than state-of-the-art high-tech laboratory cancer tests, makes you rethink Kurt Vonnegut Jr.'s TOM EDISON'S SHAGGY DOG story, doesn't it! hg47
Number of dogs that a California clinic trained to diagnose cancer by sniffing patients’ breath: 5[Nicholas Broffman, Pine Street Foundation (San Anselmo, Calif.)]
Percentage of lung- and breast-cancer cases that they accurately detect, respectively: 99, 88[Nicholas Broffman, Pine Street Foundation (San Anselmo, Calif.)]
Percentage of breast-cancer cases that are detectable by mammogram: 85
6/3/2006
8:32 AM
Who's your Daddy?
% of you who say you trust Congress = 22
% of you who say you trust the Prez = 44
% of you who say you trust the military = 74
Kyklos, Baby! Military Dictatorship! Changing of the Guard! Hell, why not?
Estimated ratio this year of the U.S. defense budget to that of the rest of the world combined: 1:1 [Stockholm International Peace Research Institute]
Rank of the National Security Agency among top U.S. employers of mathematicians: 1
[American Mathematical Society (Providence, R.I.)]
Chance that an American believes his or her phone has been tapped by the
federal government: 1 in 5
Hell, they've got the tools! Even worse, they've got our trust.
hg47
6/2/2006
8:40 AM
Finally figured out the third code error on my Home Page. It only took me 4 months to de-bug it. Guess I lose my semi-geek status.
hg47
5/24/2006
11:32 AM
I'm a big fan of Kevin Kelly's Cool Tools. Searching for a special gift for a certain someone? But now Kelly has taken on Kurzweil's "singularity" site. Check it out!
Been a fan of COOL TOOLS for
years. Just discovered THE TECHNIUM. Nice counterpoint to Kurzweil's
"Spiritual Machines" & "Singularity." I like your quote/reply: "What if
as the more aware we become, the more our experience of time
changes--analogous to Einstein's thought experiment of riding on a beam
of light. The past and future are revealed as ghosts of an eternal NOW."
I would have said: The Meaning is the Mirage because the Message creates
its own space-time continuum.
My take? The short answer is I think entropy will prevent technological
hell, whether of the green goo, terminator, or smart machines
babysitting the silly humans variety. Entropy will also block
technological heaven, immortality, and Kurzweil's benevolent Borg vision
of 10%human/90%machine superintelligence. Talk to any maintenance guy in
any factory—he may not know what the second law of thermodynamics is—but
he’ll be quick to tell you that the more complicated the machine, the
quicker it’ll break down and the more high-powered support people are
going to be needed to keep that machine up and running.
Besides, just read James Gleick's FASTER, and you'll catch the drift
that we've already passed through the "singularity," into a future
beyond anyone's control: the acceleration of everything always, no
brakes!
The long answer? Why is LIFE valuable? Death! Where does AWARENESS—the
precursor to INTELLIGENCE—come from? The struggle between life and
death! Kurzweil's core argument is seductive: given sufficient computer
speed and complexity, the computer will become self-aware, and begin
designing and producing computer children in the form of faster,
smarter, more intelligent baby bit-brains. While this is happening,
nanotechnology will redesign the environment in conformity to all our
good dreams, our minds will be augmented by successively more invasive
technological implants until superhuman is the norm and we dance off
into the eternal shibumi, uploading and downloading our minds into
multiple and various vessels according to whim and fashion: "My 256
Harveys can beat up your 128 Kevins!"
Perhaps I simply lack imagination. Maybe my thoughts are stuck in old
ruts unenlightened by the right analogy. I get the Garry Kasparov
analogy. I get that faster CPUs and sharper software will enable
computers and their robot "fingers" to best us brute humans in any and
all of our games, any field of endeavor which we can rigorously define
by precise rules. I get that computers will shortly pass the Turing
Test—questioners will not know if they are talking to a machine or a
human. But help me out here: what I don't get is the part where the IT
support guy is no longer a part of the equation. No matter how smart or
how large the computer, I keep seeing an army of admins and hackers and
software engineers behind the scenes pulling the strings, giving the
computer its marching orders.
Help me out here. Without the issue of Life and Death, how can there be
AWARENESS? I get that I can use tools to design better tools--I can use
a piece of chalk to design a pencil to design a pen to design a word
processor. But that’s always me and the tool, designing the next tool.
What I don't get is where an Apple suddenly designs a Cray while I go to
refill my coffee, and starts using me as its tool.
hg47
5/21/2006
1:50 AM
Area 47 is not user friendly. Area 47 is not Google-friendly. It's not lowest common denominator. Surfers land here and feel like the big wave shoved their head into the sand. Baby-Bots get lost and can't phone home to Mommy.
hg47
5/14/2006
4:13 PM
I foresee interesting times ahead. Jeb Bush versus Hillary Clint in the next pres election. $4.50 a gallon gasoline. A Bear stock market. And, by the way, why doesn't the Post Office know how many stamps it sells? Oh, yeah, the US Post Office knows how many stamps it prints each year, but it has no clue how many stamps it sells. Why is that? Can't they count the stamps they destroy?
hg47
5/4/2006
10:56 AM
Another post brought to you by Harper's Index. Statistics are the harshest REALITY THERAPY.
Chance that a nation lacking resource wealth will have a civil war in any given five-year span: 1 in 100[Paul Collier, Centre for the Study of African Economies (Oxford, England)]
Chance that a nation with resource wealth will: 1 in 5
Could it be that what the US is really doing over in Iraq is keeping our share of future Arab oil out of Chinese control?
hg47
4/29/2006
4:40 AM
This post is brought to you by Harper's Index, March 2006:
Percentage of Democrats and Republicans, respectively, who say the Iraq war was “worth fighting”: 4, 84[M.I.T. Public Opinion Research Training Lab (Cambridge, Mass.)]
Total projected cost of the war per U.S. household, based on a January estimate: $19,600
Yes, Virginia, this war in Iraq has already cost you 10-Grand, and the guy you are soon to marry, another 10-Grand.
hg47
4/28/2006
4:29 AM
[this post removed by special request]
hg47
4/27/2006
5:30 AM
I know a guy. He missed out on the whole Napster thing. But he's into music in a big way. He's got a high-speed cable-modem & his ISP hooks him into Newsgroups. He downloaded a program called ANDROID from somewhere, cost about 30 bucks, I think. He claims it's muggles-proof. It must be, 'cause this guy is not a geek. Does he bother to search for specific songs or groups? Nah. He's already grabbed everything he ever wanted. Now he just selects whole albums of titles he's never heard of, huge swaths of files, then his computer stays up all night downloading them.
Anyway, he showed me bookcases full of DVD-Rs, the big 100-packs, probably about 20 of the puppies, and they're all full of music. Mp3s, flacs, apes, waves; apparently, there are a bunch of different formats. There are about 50 different newsgroups dedicated to different music, I mean they've got about anything you could ask for. And if they don't have it, ask for it! Somebody will dump it on for you.
Here's where it gets interesting. This guy is downloading music about 20-times faster than he can even listen to it!
1st Question: What's the motivation here? What's the point? The pleasure must be in the downloading, the acquiring, not the listening. But I still don't get it. Yes, he's always listening to music, but it's like the music is taking a backseat to the downloading.
2nd Question: Where are the Record Companies and their lawyers? Haven't they heard of newsgroups?
hg47
4/27/2006
12:21 AM
I'm Back! hg47
11/29/2005 11:21am
I’m sorry, I have to remove the hidden links from Area 47, and I have to remove the link to the Time Travel Function. Google doesn’t like what I am doing. Google’s bots think that I am trying to inflate my rankings, by directing their bots sneakily to pages which regular users will likely never find, pages overloaded with key-words and key-phrases. Actually, my hidden links are just me hiding the dirty words from innocent underage surfers, unless they are hard-core geeks obsessed with finding my hidden pages. And my Time Travel Function? It doesn’t redirect Google’s bots to secret pages designed to inflate my rankings, but rather takes the surfer on a “time travel” back into the past of Area 47, successively loading and refreshing earlier and earlier versions of the Area 47 Home Page. But, sorry, can’t do that anymore, or soon Google will ban me entirely, and remove me from their index. This is not me bitching and moaning about The Evil Empire; no this is me, reluctantly complying with the benevolent authority of God—er, I mean, Google. hg47
11/24/2005 2:45 PM
We are celebrating Thanksgiving Day because on November 24, 1859 the
First Edition of THE ORIGIN OF SPECIES was published. hg47
11/22/2005 2:23 PM
I believe in long-cuts to success. I do not believe in short-cuts.
Some times I think my life is all distraction and diversion on the way
to destination.
conviction
not logic
convinces
Your lessons are never over.
Unfortunately, the only way to learn how to live is by living.
McLUHAN: Media are make happen agents. William Randolph Hearst was quite
correct when he cabled to bored war correspondent Frederick Remengton in
peaceful 1897 Havana, "Please remain. You furnish the pictures and I'll
furnish the war."
Monday
11/14/2005
8:14 AM
I have two novels ready for the publisher just now (11/13/2005). 42N8 F8 is a high-concept SF novel, so I think I'll turn that puppy over to the print guys. But COURTNEY will probably always be my favorite novel. I've been rewriting it forever and twenty minutes, trying to get it perfect. Anyway, here's the test: 42N8 F8 goes to the publishers, COURTNEY gets posted to my website. Come back in 100-years, after I'm dead and gone, or assimilated into some computer somewhere, if you believe Kurzweil. The novels are starting off even. Which one kicks the most butt in 2105? hg47
Saturday, November 12, 2005
9:43 AM
"Stories ought to judge and interpret the world."
—Cynthia Ozick
L6 - You are only as powerful as what you can do for other people.
Wanna reach people?
Give them a Myth.
They don't dig the old ones,
But boy do they glom onto the
New Ones!
Q: Now, what exactly is a Myth?
A: A fresh INTERPRETATION of our Common Experience.
Final victory seems to always belong to the side that writes the
dispatches.
Did you know that there is a meta tag you can attach to a web page that
will direct the browser to refresh the page? You can set the number of
seconds before the page is automatically refreshed, but more important,
you can set the URL! This means that you can redirect the browser to
another page after X-number of seconds! That got me thinking: suppose
you redirected the browser to another page, that then redirected the
browser to another page, that then, etc. You could take the browser on a
Road Trip! Or you could lock up the browser, and get it bouncing back
and forth between two pages--I haven't done extensive testing, but on my
browsers, with a one second refresh setting to another page, the "ESC"
key doesn't work, and clicking on the "STOP" button doesn't work either.
Although it's an awful waste of bandwidth, it could be used for
Flash-like effects or artistic effects with pages that load quickly. On
Area 47, I am using the effect to take a Time Travel back to former
versions of my Home Page, all the way back to when I made my first
backup. I've never heard of any other website doing this, have you?
hg47
6/15/2006
OK all you fellow boozers, stop off at Starbucks on your way to work!
Drinking lots of coffee saves liver from alcohol damage,
research finds
·
22-year study of 125,000 people 'solidifies' linkage
· Caffeine is not the key, as drinking tea has no
effect
Sarah Hall, health correspondent
Tuesday June 13, 2006
The Guardian
Drinking as little as one cup of coffee a day could help protect you from liver disease caused by alcohol, according to research published today.
People who drink one cup of coffee are 20% less likely to have alcoholic cirrhosis than those who abstain from doing so.
And the protective effect increases with the more coffee you drink: People who drink two or three cups a day are 40% less likely to contract cirrhosis, while those who drink four or more cups are 80% less likely to suffer the disease.
The findings, conducted by researchers at the Kasier Permanente, in Oakland, California, are thought to be the largest study to look at the inverse relationship between coffee and cirrhosis. The link was first reported by researchers at the same institute in 1993 but this new study - of 125,000 people over 22 years - "solidifies the association", Arthur L Klatsky, the lead author of the study, said.
Dr Klatsky, who was involved in the earlier research, added: "Consuming coffee seems to have some protective benefits against alcoholic cirrhosis, and the more coffee a person consumes the less risk they seem to have of being hospitalised or dying of alcoholic cirrhosis. We did not see a similar protective association between coffee and non-alcoholic cirrhosis."
The researchers, whose findings are published in the US journal Archives of Internal Medicine, followed more than 125,000 health plan members who underwent a medical examination between 1978-1985 and who, at the time, had no diagnosed liver disease. Participants filled out a questionnaire detailing how much alcohol, coffee and tea they drank daily.
By the end of 2001, 330 participants had been diagnosed with liver disease, including 199 with alcoholic cirrhosis - caused by the consumption, each day, of three or more units of alcohol.
Researchers - who only counted those who had been hospitalised or died because of the disease - found that the more coffee a person drank the less likely they were to develop alcoholic cirrhosis.
Drinking tea had no effect, suggesting the ingredient that protects against cirrhosis is not caffeine.
Blood tests conducted on the 5% of drinkers who consumed the most alcohol confirmed that coffee drinkers were less likely to have high levels of enzymes in the liver - a key indicator of liver damage.
Dr Klatsky added: "Even allowing for statistical variation, this shows there is a clear association between coffee consumption and protection against alcoholic cirrhosis.
"This is not a recommendation to drink coffee. Nor is it a recommendation that the way to deal with heavy alcohol consumption is to drink more coffee. And while there is very little evidence that moderate coffee drinking - say up to four cups a day - is harmful to the health, that's not the message we want to get across. There is a lot of harm caused by heavy drinking other than liver damage."
Dr Klatsky said that if caffeine were the key protective ingredient, he would expect to have seen some protection for heavy tea drinkers.
"We can't answer why this has happened," he said. "The value of this study is that it may offer us some clues as to the biochemical processes taking place inside liver cells that could help in finding new ways to protect the liver against injury."
Cirrhosis, caused by thickening of the normal tissue, causes progressive damage and impaired function of the liver. There are numerous causes including viruses, obesity or genetic problems - but excess alcohol is the main culprit.
Figures published in The Lancet this year show that Britons are drinking themselves into the grave at a sharply increasing rate. In the 1950s England and Wales had low rates of liver cirrhosis deaths - for men 3.4 per 100,000 a year and for women 2.2. By 2001 rates were 14.1 for men and 7.7 for women.
While the US remains the world's biggest consumer of coffee - with the average American drinking 3.2 cups a day - British men now drink an average of 1.7 cups, and women 1.5 cups a day.
5-21-2006
Danger, Will Robinson! Bear Market & Oil Shortage Ahead!
5/17/2006 3:25 PM
Oil stocks that seem to be going up:























Wednesday, 11/9/2005
12:59pm
I ain't much good at positive habits. I'm much
better at negative compulsions that drive me in the right direction.
"As for the viability of vicinals, when invisible they're invincible."
Metaphysical modes of escape exist which can turn any hell into a
bearable situation.
L2: Prayer is a weapon that you cannot afford to be without. Therefore,
there is a God.
"Through the Looking Glass with Many Happy Returns."
"In America, you watch TV and think that's totally unreal. Then, you
step outside, and it's just the same."
Joan Armatrading
A lover is Hallucinogenic!
WE TRY ANYTHING ONCE
YOUR LIFE IS OUR JOB
IF IT'S NEW, WE DO IT. IF IT'S OLD, WE DO IT BETTER. IF IT HASN'T BEEN
DONE YET, WE'RE WORKING ON IT!
JUST REMEMBER THAT WE TOLD YOU SO
HAPPINESS CAN'T BUY MONEY
"Evolution is Adapting to Exploration."
The truth is the most powerful weapon in the universe.
Saturday, November 05, 2005
8:03 AM
“Fiction is nothing less than the subtlest instrument for
self-examination and self-display that mankind has invented yet.
Psychology and X-rays bring up some portentous shadows, and demographics
and stroboscopic photography do some fine breakdowns, but for the full
parfum and effluvia of being human, for feathery ambiguity and rank
facticity, for the air and iron, fire and spit of our daily mortal
adventure there is nothing like fiction: it makes sociology look
priggish, history problematical, the film media two-dimensional, and the
National Enquirer as silly as last week’s cereal box.” —John Updike
USEFUL EXAGGERATION:
A product is like a religion. It has to promise Salvation. A business is
like a Savior.
"Top executives score even higher than college professors and lawyers on
word meanings."
Great Things are never accomplished by dudes hung up on the precise
definition of words (Laws) or the exact requirements of conscience.
Shrink say: The Love of Ideas and Words and Thought is just a
disappointed substitute Love for Power and Things and Toys.
Harvey say: Sub-Love, Baby! hg47
Halloween 2005
5:51am
Here's an interesting search tidbit. Google likes links which are word-links, words that are also links, but it doesn't much like picture-links, pictures which are links. Google also likes the word links to be specific differentiating words and phrases, not just the word "Link." For this reason, I am changing the picture-buttons on Area 47. hg47
7:03am
Here's an interesting website back-up info tidbit. When my hard drive crashed awhile back, and I eventually got back online, I loaded old website files from my DVD-R back-up files, and overwrote the files on the host website with them, so I could get back in business. When I did this, all my pictures on Area 47 came out all washed out and dull. Don't know why. But some setting obviously changed, or some setting wasn't stored properly in my back-up files. hg47
10/28/2005
11:00am
CULTURE IS OUR BUSINESS
WAR EQUALS EDUCATION
Violence is the Quest for Identity
THE CENTURY'S ONE GREAT ART FORM: ADVERTISING
(McLuhan)
I do believe in equality, but I also believe in distance. (Bob Dylan)
Living in New York is like coming all the time. (Gene Simmons, Kiss)
"Thanks largely to the Beatles, rock stardom eclipsed running for
President as the ultimate glamorous ambition of much of American youth."
"The Beatles' hair generated far more attention and controversy even
than their noise, and everyone instantly had an opinion of it, one way
or another."
We interpret reality according to the meanings media has given to us.
hg47
"People are more impressed by the depth of your conviction than by the
height of your logic."
"SHOCK, EXCITE, CAPTURE THE ATTENTION, AVOID POSING PROBLEMS."
Wednesday, October 26, 2005
11:03 AM
If it's new, we do it. If it's old, we do it better. If it hasn't been
done yet--don't blame us if it breaks down! hg47
L4:
All rich men believe that working is a better escape from the pressures
of reality than TV. Just be aware that there are enormous satisfactions
that can be had by working on a project that is changing your life for
the better. Instead of watching a hero, why not be a hero?
"Ontogeny replays phylogeny." - Ernst Haeckel
"Mimesis is the process by which all men learn." Aristotle, POETICS
Monday, October 24, 2005
10:16 AM
What’s right is what feels good afterward—HEMINGWAY.
[Yeah, I know, Bernanke is the New Fed Chairman,
Wilma is smashing the Keys, and companies are now blocking blogs as well
as porn. So?]
CONFESSIONS OF A NOVELIST, Part 1, “My First Novel” . . .
The first novel I wrote was science fiction, called THE HISTORY. I had
to talk about being a writer for a couple of years before I did much
writing. And I had to talk about being a novelist for probably a year
before I started writing a novel. Pretty hard to get started. Heavy into
ritual. I had to have my lucky candle lit. I wrote on special paper,
with a special fountain pen, buzzed on strong coffee.
I am a compulsive personality, with enormous inertia. It’s very hard for
me to get started. But once I’m going, it’s just has hard for me to
stop. I sometimes think that my passions and addictions drag me through
life, and that what little free will I have is only exercised in the
choosing of my passions and in the cultivating of my addictions.
I don’t remember my exact preparations or methods for that first novel,
but I’m pretty sure there wasn’t much in the way of preparation. After
all, I was a “genius.” Who needs preparation when you’re a “genius?”
Some writers do precise outlines, and organize the novel to be written
down to the tiniest details before actually “assembling” the first
draft. I have never done it that way. For me, the first draft is where
the rubber hits the road, where the artistic creation happens, where the
essential decisions are made (sometimes by the characters, themselves,
which I have set in motion). I think I have always started with a vague
plot and an essential “message” to convey, but oftentimes the plot
changes drastically in the writing of the first draft, and sometimes the
“message” has to be thrown out because it just won’t fit the new
structure. For my first novel, I have no memory of any preparatory
notes.
I counted the words as I went, for this first novel, and when I neared
the end, at what I remember as about fifty-five thousand words into the
thing, about six months of work into the thing, I stopped writing, and
carefully reread everything I had written before proceeding with the
last chapter or three of the ending. I wanted to get the ending just
right. Up to this time, I had only been rereading back five or ten pages
to where I was actually creating, to get a sort of “running start” on
the point of creation.
I discovered that I had made a mistake. I discovered that my memories of
the opening and middle chapters were idealized. I also discovered that
the novel had changed during the writing, had evolved, creating problems
of continuity and meaning, the characters had changed, the SF landscape
had changed. I didn’t have a masterpiece, I had a mess. I had to face
the fact that I was in for a major rewrite. Fixing this mess would
probably require putting as much time and energy as I had already put
into it!
And I just didn’t have the heart for it. So I abandoned this novel, and
treated it as a learning experience. The first lesson was to
periodically read the fucking thing! From the start! So I had a view of
just exactly what I was working on! The second lesson was to plan things
out a bit more before jumping into the first draft.
I have to say one thing, at this point. I am happiest, most content,
when I am writing the first draft of a novel. A close second is when
writing the first draft of a screenplay. The planning & plotting is OK,
the rewriting is OK, the promoting & marketing is a bitch. But the best
part, always, is the first draft. If I die and go to Heaven, I will be
always writing the first draft to a novel up there.
To be continued . . . hg47
10/20/2005
L1 - Ladies Love Outlaws. It's in their programming. So spice up your act. Outlaws are guys who get away with shit, other guys don't get away with. The more shit you can get away with, the more foxes will throw themselves at you! hg47
10/18/2005
Hardware
Software!
Products
Processes!
Goals
Roles!
Ads
supply
the
corporate
meaning
for
the
experience
of
the
private
owner.
The
people
who
pay
attention
to
the
advertisements
are
typically
those
who
already
own
the
product.
Get
it?
hg47
Monday, 10/17/2005 - 6:47am
Do people behave according to what they
comprehend?
And yet, if we only see what is behind our eyes . . . if the only tool
you have is a hammer, you see every problem as a nail.
So HIT THAT NAIL!! hg47
Sunday, October 16, 2005
12:34 PM
The making of news has replaced reporting. hg47
Saturday, October 15, 2005
8:13 AM
Your Honor, may I approach for a Sidebar?
An update on my travails with Windows XP, other software, and my New
Dell computer.
I uninstalled GHOST, and then installed ACRONIS TRUE IMAGE. Ashamed to
admit it, but I’m not geek enough for GHOST. So now I have C-Drive
images on a set of CD-Rs, and on my E-Drive, and I also cloned my
C-Drive to a third hard drive that I bought. The only way to really,
really, really test my images is to restore my C-Drive from one of them.
Don’t think I want to do that. But I did swap out my cloned and larger
C-Drive with the smaller original, and everything booted up as expected.
Programs seemed to operate as expected. So, worst case? My hard drive
goes ker-plink, like before, and I just plug in the bigger puppy, and
I’m back in business.
Yes, I do regular data backups to DVD-R+, but I recommend, as always,
that writers make hard copies of all first draft work. PRINT IT OUT! And
I also recommend that writers keep off-site copies of computer data
files on removable media in case of fire or theft.
Who me, paranoid? Yes, Windows XP is more stable than Windows 98. But
I’ve never yet had to reinstall Windows 98. My 5-year-old Old Dell is
still fairly reliable, and is kept in service by GO BACK and DRIVE
IMAGE.
My six-month-old New Dell has three main safety-nets. GO BACK. ACRONIS
TRUE IMAGE. And a cloned hard drive packed away ready for use.
Who me, paranoid? Windows made me what I am today. hg47
5-21-2006
Danger, Will Robinson! Bear Market & Oil Shortage Ahead!
5/17/2006 3:25 PM
Oil stocks that seem to be going up:
























5/14/2006
http://www.physorg.com/news66407801.html
Women are able to subconsciously pick up cues in men's faces and use those cues to determine if they are attracted to the males for long-term or short-term relationships, according to a new study conducted by researchers at the University of California, Santa Barbara and the University of Chicago.
The study was published online today by the
Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, the UK's
national academy of science.
Men whose faces reflected an interest in children were
intuitively perceived by woman as candidates for
long-term commitments, whereas men whose faces indicated
high testosterone levels were determined to be
short-term prospects for relationships.
"Women are surprisingly accurate in being able to
determine interest in children and testosterone levels,"
said James Roney, assistant professor of psychology at
the University of California, Santa Barbara, who is the
lead author of the paper. "Our data suggest that men's
interest in children predicts their long-term mate
attractiveness even after we account for how physically
attractive the women rated the men," he said.
For the study, the researchers recruited male
undergraduate students from a variety of ethnic
backgrounds who were tested for testosterone and for
their interest in children.
Researchers took saliva samples to measure testosterone
levels. To determine interest in children, researchers
showed the men a pair of pictures, one each of an adult
and a baby. They were then asked which picture they
preferred. Slightly more than twelve percent of the men
expressed no interest in the baby pictures, while the
rest expressed a range of interest, up to nine out of
ten preferences for the infants.
The researchers then took pictures of each man,
asking them to display a neutral expression. An oval
frame was placed around each photo to focus attention on
the faces and the photos were shown to undergraduate
women from diverse backgrounds at UCSB.
The women were asked to rate the men according to
whether they thought the men liked children, whether
they appeared masculine, physically attractive, or kind.
They were then asked to determine men's attractiveness
as short-term romantic partners or as long-term partners
for relationships such as marriage.
The men chosen as being most interested in children were
also the same men who had expressed the most interest in
children in the photo test. The women were also able to
determine from their photos which men had high
testosterone levels because they perceived the men as
looking masculine.
Although women said they were attracted to the men who
tested high for testosterone, an important factor in
their attraction to men for a long-term relationship was
their perception of a man's affinity for children, even
after accounting for their perceptions of men's general
kindness.
"The research suggests that men's interest in children
may be a relatively under-appreciated influence on men's
long-term mate attractiveness," Roney said.
Source: University of California, Santa Barbara
--
http://www.physorg.com/news66289784.html
A pet dog sits on command, but nobody expects an insect to follow human instructions. So it may come as a surprise to learn that researchers recently succeeded in controlling cockroaches with tiny mobile robots. The results hint at a future where we can interact and communicate with many different kinds of animal.
Little larger than a thumbnail, the cubic insect-like
robots or ‘insbots’ are technological marvels. Developed
under the European Commission’s Future and Emerging
Technologies (FET) initiative of the IST programme as
the project Leurre, the insbots are fitted with two
motors, wheels, a rechargeable battery, several computer
processors, a light-sensing camera and an array of
infrared proximity sensors.
When dropped into a small experimental area with a maze
of curved walls, the robots move, turn and stop. They
can navigate their way safely by avoiding the walls,
obstacles or each other, follow the walls, congregate
around a lamp beam or even line up. When placed in the
same area with cockroaches, the robots quickly adapt
their behaviour by mimicking the animals’ movements.
Coated with pheromones taken from roaches, the
infiltrator robots even fool the insects into thinking
they are real creatures.
The roach pheromones – a blend of molecules developed by
the project partner from the Université de Rennes I,
France – enable various forms of communication,
including recognition and attraction. For example, when
a roach detects another roach, it may approach it, move
away or stop. Cockroaches were chosen here because their
pheromones are better understood than those found on
other gregarious insects, such as ants.
Artificial agents meet natural agents
According to coordinator Jean-Louis Deneubourg, from the
Université Libre de Bruxelles, the project had its
origins in collective intelligence and behaviour in
animal society, as well as the tradition of using
artificial agents to test theories about animals.
“Robots have already been used to interact with some
animals, such as bees. But they cannot react to the
animals’ response,” he says. “In our project, the
autonomous insbots call on specially developed
algorithms to react to signals and responses from
individual insects. This results in a chain action or
reaction between the artificial and natural agents – a
two-way interaction that is unique and very promising
for sciences such as biology and robotics.”
Not only did the insbots act like and interact with the
insects, they even succeeded in changing the roaches’
behaviour. For example, the darkness-loving insects
followed their artificial cousins towards bright beams
of light and congregated there. This process took up to
two hours, but it showed how humans might soon be able
to manipulate the behaviour of a whole colony of
insects. A trick that would delight pest-controllers the
world over!
Two side-projects under Leurre also looked at sheep
and chickens, animals that are happy to follow their
‘leaders’ – unlike the cockroaches, whose collective
behaviour is essentially ‘democratic’. The researchers
collected data and developed mathematical models
describing the collective behaviour of sheep, such as
clustering together in a field. These models have yet to
be taken up in a follow-on project, but are
scientifically valuable. Adds Deneubourg, “They are a
great way of exploring the importance of leadership or
collective behaviour in animals, paving the way for
people to control animals and even colonies of robots.”
Why influence behaviour?
Asked why people would want to influence animal
behaviour, Deneubourg offers several answers. Firstly,
by changing the way animals behave or inducing
collective behaviour, scientists can learn much about
animal communications and information processing.
Secondly, the ability to create ‘mixed systems’, where
artificial agents interact with natural ones, is a
long-held dream for many in the scientific community –
including those working on nanotechnology. Moreover,
these systems are in keeping with emerging European
research such as collective robotics and FET-funded
projects such as Swarmbots. “We believe farming in
Europe can only survive if is associated with high
technology,” he adds, pointing to a potential increase
in competitiveness and a decrease in costs. “A robot
interacting with animals, even if it is not mobile,
could be used for numerous tasks, such as herding or
milking. Our project demonstrates that the fields of
biology and IT can work together more closely in
future.”
Though the project has officially ended, some of the
partners are continuing to refine the behaviour models
they developed. The main research results are also being
published in leading IT and biology journals. “Time
constraints prevented us from exploring all the new and
interesting research paths that opened during the
project,” says the project coordinator. “But we
succeeded in our main goal – showing that an artificial
agent such as a robot can modify the collective
behaviour of natural agents, in this case cockroaches,
in a mixed community.”
Source:
IST Results
--

Don't Make Me Think
Steve Krug
2000, 195 pages
$24.50
Amazon
Excerpts:
When you're creating a site, your job is to get rid of
the question marks.
*
We don't read pages. We scan them.
*
Create a clear visual hierarchy. One of the best ways to
make a page easy to grasp in a hurry is to make sure
that the appearance of the things on the page -- all of
the visual cues -- clearly and accurately portray the
relationships between the things on the page.
*
Jakob Nielsen and Tom Landauer have shown that testing
five users will tend to uncover 85 percent of a site's
usability problems, and that there is a serious case of
diminishing returns for additional users.
*
--
Art & Fear:Observations on the Perils (and Rewards)
of Artmaking
David Bayles & Ted Orland
2001, 122 pages
$13
The Image Continuum
Santa Cruz, CA & Eugene, OR
The function of the overwhelming majority of your
artwork is simply to teach you how to make the small
fraction of your artwork that soars. One of the basic
and difficult lessons every artist must learn is that
even the failed pieces are essential.
Those who would make art might begin by reflecting on
the fate of those who preceded them: most who began,
quit. To survive as an artist requires confronting these
troubles. Basically, those who continue to make art are
those who have learned how to continue - or more
precisely, have learned how to not quit.
•
The truth is that the piece of art which seems so
profoundly right in its finished state may earlier have
been only inches or seconds away from total collapse.
Art is like beginning a sentence before you know its
ending. The risks are obvious; you may never get to the
end of the sentence at all - or having gotten there, you
may not have said anything. This is probably not a good
idea in public speaking, but it’s an excellent idea in
making art.
•
Talent, in common parlance, is “what comes easily.” So
sooner or later, inevitably, you reach a point where the
work doesn’t come easily, and - Aha!, it‚s just as you
feared!
Wrong. By definition, whatever you have is exactly what
you need to produce your best work. There is probably no
clearer waste of psychic energy than worrying about how
much talent you have -and probably no worry more common.
This is true even among artists of considerable
accomplishment.
The ceramics teacher announced on opening day that he
was dividing the class into two groups. All those on the
left side of the studio, he said, would be graded solely
on the quantity of work they produced, all those on the
right solely on its quality. His procedure was simple:
on the final day of class he would bring in his bathroom
scales and weigh the work of the “quantity” group: fifty
pound of pots rated an “A”, forty pounds a “B”, and so
on. Those being graded on “quality”, however, needed to
produce only one pot -albeit a perfect one - to get an
“A”. Well, came grading time and a curious fact emerged:
the works of highest quality were all produced by the
group being graded for quantity. It seems that while the
“quantity” group was busily churning out piles of work -
and learning from their mistakes - the “quality” group
had sat theorizing about perfection, and in the end had
little more to show for their efforts than grandiose
theories and a pile of dead clay.
Filmmaker Lou Stouten tells the painfully unapocryphal story about hand-carrying his first film (produced while he was still a student) to the famed teacher and film theorist Slavko Vorkapitch. The teacher watched the entire film in silence, and as the viewing ended rose and left the room without uttering a word. Stouten, more than a bit shaken, ran out after him and asked, “But what did you think of my film?” Replied Vorkapitch, “What film?”
The lesson here is simply that courting approval, even that of peers, puts a dangerous amount of power in the hands of the audience. Worse yet, the audience is seldom in a position to grant (or withhold) approval on the one issue that really counts - namely, whether or not you’re making progress in your work. They’re in a good position to comment on how they’re moved (or challenged or entertained) by the finished product, but have little knowledge or interest in your process. Audience comes later. The only pure communication is between you and your work.
--
Nine Ways to Make Your Home a Haven
From turning your bedroom into a cozy getaway, to basking in the glow of a homemade candle, surround yourself with warmth and comfort this season:
Invite Joy into Your Home
When it comes to creating a warm, welcoming home,
attention to detail is far more important than budget
and space. For instance, have you ever walked into an
exquisitely furnished home and yet felt unwelcome? Or
entered a modest apartment and never wanted to leave? It
is within the walls of a calm home that joy is most
easily experienced. Discover how you can
create a blueprint for joy in your own home with
this simple exercise by Zen Organizer Regina Leeds.
Turn Your Bedroom into a Cozy Sanctuary
Turn your bedroom into your ultimate escape. It doesn't
take a lot of work or a lot of money, and yes, it'll be
worth it. After all, what's better than snuggling in a
warm bed (by yourself, or with the one you love)? So if
you don't have a cozy blanket for the winter, get one
now or put it on your gift list. It's the easiest way to
add that "aaah" feeling to your bedroom.
Try an Ancient Space-Enhancing Secret
Turn your home into an inviting retreat with help from
feng shui, the Chinese discipline that teaches you how
to attract and enhance your life energy (chi) according
to how your space is arranged. Feng shui can bring
positive results to every aspect of your life, including
your home.
You can create an environment that welcomes health, happiness and love just by moving some furniture and adding a few objects. Start by placing positive elements such as plants, candles, wind chimes and soothing colors around your home. Plus, get more quick tips with a simple lesson in feng shui.
Simple Details Make a Big Difference
You don't need a paint job or a furniture makeover to
add a sense of light and laughter to your home. You can
cheer up your interior with small, inexpensive touches
and see big changes! Start by simply clustering candles
on a plant stand or draping cozy throws over sofas and
chairs. Find six more ways you can
warm up your home this season from Soulful Home
Maker Tracey McBride.
Bring the Bloom Indoors
Blooming indoor plants bring the beauty and vibrancy of
an outdoor garden into your home. Whether you like
lavender, jasmine or even flowering maple, Green Thumb
Fran Sorin will show you
five blooming beauties that are bound to brighten
any room.
Create an Indoor Fountain
Water is soothing to the soul -- that musical trickling
sound, the constant but quiet movement. So why not
soothe yourself and your loved ones with an indoor
fountain? You can
make one in as few as four steps. What a treat for a
coffee table, bedside stand or even in a front entrance
(it's also great feng shui) -- perfect for greeting
holiday visitors!
Promote Happiness with Color
One of the easiest ways to transform a room is with a
new coat of paint. But which color matches your mood?
Will the yellow in your kitchen soothe guests and keep
family members happy? Can the colors violet, blue and
green make a small room look bigger? Find out how to
brighten the walls of your home and keep your spirits
high with the
Color Therapy Quiz.
Bask in the Glow
Candles are the perfect way to add a warm feeling to
your home. An easy alternative to installing a dimmer
switch, candles can create a friendly feeling in the
living room, add sparkle to a dinner table and promote
romance in the bedroom (plus, everyone looks better by
candlelight!). Whether it's a cluster of tea lights, a
grouping of candlesticks or a solitary three-wick giant,
let the glow of candles fill your rooms -- and your
heart -- with warmth and light.
Cleanse Your Space and Spirit
Treat your spiritual space the same way you treat your
home -- keep it clean. Try this
simple space-cleansing ritual -- all you need is a
smudge stick (you can get one at any health food store),
a bell and a few loud claps (that's right, hand claps)
-- to clear your home of unwanted negative energy, and
welcome in the joy.
(add this to Area 47)
5/4/2006
By
Jon D. Markman
Special to TheStreet.com
4/27/2006 7:47 AM EDT
The U.S. is the world's greatest consumer of energy at present, but China is the world's fastest-growing consumer. That puts us in direct competition for any new sources of crude oil, natural gas, coal and uranium that materialize through exploration and discovery, not to mention any current sources that profit-seeking producers decide to put up for grabs.
Increasingly, new energy sources that China is acquiring are in countries that Americans find distasteful. Many of them are in Africa, in countries with horrific human-rights records such as Sudan, Chad and the Republic of the Congo. And much of the energy is controlled by rapacious despots in the Central Asian republic of Kazakhstan and in Southeast Asia's Myanmar.
Energy acquisition is a zero-sum game in which there are winners and losers. Any new energy that China obtains for its fast-growing economy is unavailable to us forever. So you just have to wonder whether the U.S.'s antipathy for dealing with the worst of the world's rogue states has led inexorably to $4-a-gallon gasoline this spring.
For stone-cold U.S. investors, the obvious play here is to simply tag along by taking positions in foreign and domestic companies supplying the Chinese juggernaut, whether they are base metal producer Falconbridge (FAL:NYSE - commentary - research - Cramer's Take) in Canada; a producer of Turkish energy like Toreador Resources (TRGL:Nasdaq - commentary - research - Cramer's Take) of Texas; a producer of Venezuelan oil and gas like Harvest Natural Resources (HNR:NYSE - commentary - research - Cramer's Take); or the two big Chinese energy companies Cnooc or China Petroleum & Chemical (SNP:NYSE ADS - commentary - research - Cramer's Take).
For consumers, outraged indignation is about the best you can do, along with new personal choices about limiting the use of fossil fuel. China has no incentive to bend to U.S. demands to force change on its repressive foreign energy partners. And our politicians are unlikely yet to ease up on rules preventing U.S. companies from participating in the sort of bribery and weapons brokerage that has become de rigueur for doing business in the equatorial zone where most new energy sources are being discovered.
So this really is just another case of joining 'em when you can't beat 'em. Shake your fist at the Chinese if you must, but also continue to buy global miners and drillers on dips in this bull market for commodities, sell your SUV, move closer to work, install solar energy panels and make peace with nuclear energy.
--
http://www.harpers.org/HarpersIndex2006-03.html
Number of suicide bombings known to have been carried out by Iranians: 0
Percentage of African-American families that have zero or negative net worth: 31[Edward N. Wolff, New York University]
Chance that the family of an African-American child is too poor to qualify for the full U.S. child tax credit: 1 in 2
Percentage change in the amount of housework done by women after they marry for the first time: +17[Sanjiv Gupta, University of Michigan (Ann Arbor)]
Percentage change in the amount done by men: -33
Number of half-siblings who have found each other on a website for children of anonymous sperm donors: 1,316[Donor Sibling Registry (Nederland, Colo.)]
Greatest number of them who have the same father: 21
Percentage change since 1992 in the number of civil wars worldwide claiming more than a thousand lives: ‒80[Human Security Centre (Vancouver)]
Chance that a nation lacking resource wealth will have a civil war in any given five-year span: 1 in 100[Paul Collier, Centre for the Study of African Economies (Oxford, England)]
Chance that a nation with resource wealth will: 1 in 5
Average percentage decline in U.K. child injuries during weekends when a new Harry Potter book is released: ‒46[Stephen Gwilym, John Radcliffe Hospital (Oxford, England)]
Number of books published in Britain since 2004 that have “shit,” “shite,” or “crap” in their titles: 23[Harper's research]
Percentage change since 1995 in the number of U.S. fantasy books about dragons: +91
Number of copies sold in Japan since last summer of a comic book about the worthlessness of China: 180,000[Asuka Shinsha (Tokyo)]
Number of copies sold of a similar comic book about Korea: 370,000
Chances that a Japanese person will make eye contact during conversation with another Japanese person: 2 in 5[Karl MacDorman, Indiana University School of Informatics (Indianapolis)]
Chances that he or she will make eye contact during conversation with a robot: 3 in 5
--
http://www.harpers.org/HarpersIndex2006-02.html
Percentage of Americans who say that fighting terrorism should be one of the nation’s top two priorities: 6
Number of workplace arrests made by U.S. immigration authorities in 1997: 17,554[U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement]
Number in 2003: 445
Average percentage by which U.S. senators’ investments outperform the stock market each year: 12
Percentage of U.S. CEO vacancies that are filled from outside the company: 40[RHR International Company (Wood Dale, Ill.)]
Average amount the companies spend on each search: $2,000,000[RHR International Company (Wood Dale, Ill.)]
Chance that the CEO will quit or be fired within eighteen months: 1 in 2
Average amount it costs U.S. companies to process a query through a call center: $6.62[The Center for Customer Driven Quality (West Lafayette, Ind.)]
Average performance rating, on a scale of 1 to 100, of top U.S. government managers who are political appointees: 62[David Lewis, Princeton University (New Jersey)]
Average for those who are career bureaucrats: 70[David Lewis, Princeton University (New Jersey)]
Estimated amount the U.S. would save each year on paperwork if it adopted single-payer health care: $161,000,000,000
Number of dominoes that a wayward sparrow toppled just before a Dutch world-record attempt in November: 23,000[Endemol NV (Aalsmeer, The Netherlands)]
Hours later that the sparrow was executed: 1.5
--
http://www.harpers.org/HarpersIndex2006-01.html
Percentage approval rating of Bill Clinton the day after impeachment and George W. Bush in November, respectively: 73, 37
Number of U.S. prisoners serving life sentences with no parole for crimes they committed while juveniles: 2,225[Human Rights Watch (N.Y.C.)]
Number of prisoners serving such sentences in all other countries worldwide: 12
Chance that a Briton has bought a book “solely to look intelligent”: 1 in 3
Number of product placements on U.S. network TV shows in prime time last year: 101,212
Percentage by which circumcision reduces the risk of HIV infection, according to a study in South Africa: 60[Bertran Auvert, Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (France)]
Percentage of free condoms distributed in India that are used for purposes other than sex: 75
--
http://www.harpers.org/HarpersIndex2005-12.html
TOYS R US:
Amount the U.S. spends annually on imported toys: $23,631,000,000[Danny Dorling, University of Sheffield (England)]
Amount spent by the next ten highest toy-importing nations combined: $21,729,000,000
Average number of credit cards per U.S. household: 12.7
Average hourly wage made by drug-dealing foot soldiers in Chicago, according to a Columbia University study: $3.41[Sudhir Venkatesh, Columbia University (N.Y.C.)]
Amount a foot soldier’s family is paid if he is killed: $5,000
Percentage of British adults who are members of any of their country’s three major political parties: 1.2[Harper’s research]
Percentage who are members of the Royal Society for the Protection of Birds: 1.9
Number of Alabama state senators co-sponsoring a bill last summer to “protect” public displays of the Ten Commandments: 10[M. J. Ellington, Decatur Daily (Montgomery, Ala.)]
Number of them who could list the Commandments: 1
Estimated number of U.S. abortions that were prevented in 2000 through use of the morning-after pill: 51,000[The Alan Guttmacher Institute (N.Y.C.)]
Price in South Africa next year of a latex vaginal insert that latches onto a rapist’s penis and requires surgical removal: 35¢
Number of degrees Fahrenheit that temperatures in California’s wine country have risen since 1971: 1.6[Gregory V. Jones, Southern Oregon University (Ashland)]
Percentage change since then in the average alcohol content of the region’s wines: +18.4
--
|
1 million microphones |
= |
1 megaphone |
|
2000 mockingbirds |
= |
two kilomockingbirds |
|
10 cards |
= |
1 decacards |
|
1 millionth of a fish |
= |
1 microfiche |
|
453.6 graham crackers |
= |
1 pound cake |
|
1 trillion pins |
= |
1 terrapin |
|
10 rations |
= |
1 decoration |
|
100 rations |
= |
1 C-ration |
|
10 millipedes |
= |
1 centipede |
|
3 1/3 tridents |
= |
1 decadent |
|
2 monograms |
= |
1 diagram |
|
8 nickels |
= |
2 paradigms |
|
2 wharves |
= |
1 paradox |
|
1 millihelen |
= |
The amount of beauty required to launch a single ship |
--
4/27/2006 11:47 PM
D&B hook-up will get contact names for individual companies for $4.00 each
--
http://biz.yahoo.com/bizwk/060427/pi20060426157496.html
Jeremy Siegel:
I believe that over the next 50 years, the aging population is the most critical issue facing developed world. Life expectancy vs. retirement were 1.6 years apart in 1950, when they were 69 vs. 67. Today, that gap is 14.5 years. This trend can't continue.
The age wave is the most severe in Japan. By mid century, 75 to 80 will be most populous age group there, and the number of workers per retiree will fall to one-to-one. The big questions facing the developed world are, who's going produce the goods, and who's going buy the assets. If there are not enough workers earning income, then there aren't enough buyers of all the stocks and bonds that are going be sold. It's the flip side of same question.
The population in the developed countries today is just 15% of the world total, and it has 56% of the world's GDP. In 2050, the population of developed countries, according to UN projections, will fall to 11%, and its share of GDP will shrink to 23%, with the other 77% coming in the developing world. Once we have that change, per capita incomes will rise to half our levels in China for example.
If we rely just on ourselves, people will have to work 12 years longer. But if we embed in global economy, we can sell assets to the developing world, and they can ship us goods. That is our best hope, and if we do that our retirement age will stabilize at 68.
This is the global solution. I'm writing a small book called that. If we just rely on ourselves, our capital markets can't absorb all our assets. However if we let the world work, then I'm more optimistic. Our markets will be healthy, which will ameliorate our situation. So I'm pessimistic only if we shut out the rest of the world. If we don't, I'm an optimist with respect to the markets.
Michael Milken:
There are two major trends in the world going on today. One, there's a growing middle class outside the U.S., which is where most of the world's population lives, and two, there's a chronologically aging population in the developed world. Most of the world's population is in Asia, which is 61% of the world, but it has only 29% of the world's land. It's the same with GDP, Asia is 30%.
By 2030, Asia will be 58% of the world's GDP. By 2050, China will be the largest economy, with 44.5% of world GDP vs. 35% in the U.S. India will be at 28%. India's and China's economies were much larger in 1820 than they are today. Back then, China was 29% of the world and India was 16%. The U.S. has been the unbelievable success story of the world since then. But 2050 will look a lot more like 1820.
Now look at wealth. Most accumulation has been in the last 200 years. Technology has driven it. Many people predicted more serious problems than who will buy our assets tomorrow. Mass starvation was predicted in the 1970s, when some said we can't feed all the people in the U.S. and around the world. In 1900, there were about 40 million people on American farms, so one person produced enough to feed two others. In 2000, there were 1.5 million living on our farms, and they feed 290 million here, plus 220 million more around the world. So each farmer feeds 340 others. The idea that we can't produce enough food is no longer in vogue.
Or look at technology. The iPod has 7,500 times the storage of IBM's largest computer in 1976. The new IBM (NYSE:IBM - News) chip has 2 trillion calculations per second. In 1974, it cost $100 million to sequence a gene. Today, it cost $3, and by 2013, it will be 3 cents.
We also constantly underestimate life expectancy. In Japan today, the quality of life lasts longer than anywhere else. They have 73.6 healthy years before becoming disabled (by old age), vs. 67.6 in the U.S. But even in the U.S. there have been big gains. The share of men in poor or fair health has gone from where it was at age 60 20 years ago to age 72 today. That's 12 years of increased quality of life. In 1970, a 59-year-old man had the same probability of dying as a 65-year-old today. The same is true with women. We're living longer and more productive lives.
So we're going to want to work longer. My mother could easily hold a job in her 80s today. This adds trillions to our wealth. Increases in life expectancy -- not quality of life but just life expectancy -- already has added $2.6 trillion to our economy, according to (University of Chicago economics professor) Kevin Murphy. And what if we cure more diseases? It will save billions more.
With all this wealth, the problem is not who's going buy assets, it's are there any assets to buy with all the liquidity in the world.
Take housing. We don't have efficient mortgage markets around the world, but we've had a $20 trillion increase in housing assets from 1997 to 2004. If developing countries can fully borrow, what are they going to buy? Where are the assets for them to buy?
The Milken Institute does a global capital access index every year, which shows China and India still low on the rankings. Imagine what will happen when they get access to capital. They're already growing at 8% to 10% without efficient capital markets.
The real issue is the rate of return. If it increases, it solves the problems. The issue will be, "Where can I invest?" not "Who's the buyer."
This trend already has begun. Already we're seeing ads saying, "Help wanted. We need older workers." The only offense is calling age 60 "older", instead of "mid-life."
The rest of the world is growing so quickly, they'll be looking for anything to buy.
4/26/2006 10:06 PM
http://en.thinkexist.com/quotation/move_out_of_your_comfort_zone-you_can_only_grow/340642.html
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“It doesn't matter where you are coming from. All that matters is where you are going.”
“Comfort zones are most often expanded through discomfort.”
“The only person you are destined to become is the person you decide to be.”
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Move out of Your Comfort Zone to Increase Chemistry - By Lillian D. Bjorseth |
Ever notice how comfortable you feel with certain people?
You can say and do what you want, and communication
flows smoothly.
Then, there are those OTHER people. The ones whose
footsteps in the hallway make the hair on the back of
your neck bristle as you put on your armor for the
battle that will ensue.
It seems as if no matter what you say or how you say it,
good communication doesn’t happen. Your message is
distorted, and you feel frustrated, misunderstood and
even angry.
One of the major reasons for this common workplace
phenomenon is people’s different behavioral style. You
can be naturally conflictive when you behave naturally!
There’s hope. Behavioral experts have made it relatively
easy to understand why people act and react the way to
do. And, once you better understand yourself and others,
you can modify your behavior in different situations
since people like to be dealt with in their style. It
will help you make the sale, improve teamwork, manage
better, reduce conflict and improve communication. These
principles have been espoused since Greek mythology and
furthered by people like Hippocrates, Carl Jung and
William Marston.
The four major behavior patterns are dominance,
influencing, steadiness and conscientiousness (DISC).
Each of us is a combination of all four, but almost
everyone finds at least one or two of the styles most
comfortable.
Dominant styles are easy to detect. They sport a strong
handshake, steady eye contact and exhibit a confidence
that may overwhelm less powerful people. They prosper by
solving challenges … and often are a challenge for
others. They don’t get ulcers; they are carriers. They
are risk takers and thrive as CEOs of their own
companies and big corporations. To get along better,
provide brief, direct answers. Stick to business and the
results they desire. Ask “what” questions.
Influencers are natural networkers. They are still
working the room, hallways and parking lots long after
most people have left. Usually, people talk at 160 words
a minute. High “Is” comfortably speak at 400 words a
minutes, with gusts up to 700 words. They are
spontaneous and change plans at a moment’s notice. This
can result in piles of papers on their floors and desks,
the top of which they haven’t seen since they got it.
They thrive in sales, public relations and other jobs
that “deal with people.” Provide a favorable, friendly
environment and let them verbalize about people, ideas,
the weather and on and on. Supply testimonials, as they
want to know “who” is using your products and services
and attending your After-Hours. Focus on building
relationships!
Steady people are just as their moniker indicates:
Amicable, calm, soothing, sincere, loyal and the
consummate team player. They are so nice … dogs come up
and pet them! They are most comfortable when everyone
gets along, thus, the most disappointed when conflict
arises. They often climb into their shell, hoping the
disagreements will disappear. They are by far the best
listeners and often are cornered by the natural
networkers! Provide a sincere, personal and agreeable
environment. Focus on answers to “how” questions. Assure
them you will personally follow up.
Conscientious people are analytical, quality control
people who make sure things are done right. Usually,
they think they can do it “most right.” As managers,
they have sticky fingers and micro-manage. They seem to
have computers in their heads and compare what is said
to their database. If it fits, they keep it; if not,
they discard it. This process (and they spent a lot of
time ocessing), takes time and, therefore, they are the
least verbal. Prepare your case in advance and logically
present pros and cons. Help them see the “whys.” Be
prepared to provide lengthy explanations … and leave the
small talk behind.
Understanding your personal preference(s) and those of
others will help you improve your bottom line results.
http://www.selfgrowth.com/articles/bjorseth5.html
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4/26/2006 12:55 AM
Under the rules of NYSE and NASD, customers who are deemed "pattern day traders" must have at least $25,000 in their accounts and can only trade in margin accounts. For more information, you can read the NASD's Notice to Members and the New York Stock Exchange's Information Memo.
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These two factors make a strong case to avoid active trading. You are hit with broker fees and short-term capital gains (or losses) each time you flip a stock in under a year. There are other reasons that active trading is not a good strategy, but that’s a different article.
Let’s look at an example. You find a hot stock and in a short period, it moves from $25 per share to $30 per share – a 20% gain. Your $500 profit ($5 gain on 100 shares) looks good, but wait; it’s not really $500 is it?
First, we deduct the $30 roundtrip commission ($15 when you buy and $15 when you sell). Next, because this is a short-term gain you get soaked with a 28% tax bill (could be higher or lower), which comes off the $500 for $140. Your profit is now $330 – a 13% return.
To really earn a $500 profit, your stock needs to move to about $32.36. Instead of a 20% gain, you need more than 29% to just to overcome the expenses and earn your $500.
How can you avoid or lessen these problems?
Now the math in the example is rough and it doesn’t consider other investments or offsetting trades. However, the point is if you are going to trade frequently, you had better be very successful, because taxes and commissions are going to make it tough for just so-so trades to be successful.
Like the old saying, “it’s not what you make, but what you take home.” Watch your expenses and avoid killing your profits.
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If you are investing in a stock, you look for buy and sell signals based on a number of indicators. Your goal is to make money on the trade and you have no real interest in the underlying company other than how it might be affected by market, news or economic changes.
In most cases, you don’t know enough about the underlying company to determine if a drop in price is temporary or a reflection of a serious problem.
Your best course of action when investing in a stock (as opposed to a company) is to cut your losses at no more than 7%. When the stock drops that much, sell and move on to the next deal.
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